It’s almost September and that means it is football (queso) time in America. It is hard to believe that football is already upon us, but I think the Summer Olympics helped fill the void between NBA and NFL (obviously the MLB did nothing for that). It seems like it was only a few months ago that I ended my worst fantasy football year of my 8 year career. And trust me – it was horrific.
Our league decided to group up for the draft this year, a decision that I think everyone was happy about. It seemed like a faster environment even though we had the same time constraints as always (90 seconds per pick). It might have had something to do with the 85 degree room that we were in…
The only interesting thing to note about my league is that we use PPR format. So let’s get right to it, here is my team (draft order, I had pick 8 out of 12):
- (8) Darren McFadden (Oak – RB)
- (17) Larry Fitzgerald (Ari – WR)
- (32) Fred Jackson (Buf – RB)
- (41) Steve Smith (Car – WR)
- (56) Dwayne Bowe (KC – WR)
- (65) Doug Martin (TB – RB)
- (80) Nate Washington (Ten – WR)
- (89) Fred Davis (Was – TE)
- (104) Denarious Moore (Oak – WR)
- (113) C.J. Spiller (Buf – RB)
- (128) Ben Roethlisberger (Pit – QB)
- (137) Evan Royster (Was – RB)
- (152) Carson Palmer (Oak – QB)
- (161) Stephen Gostkowski (NE – K)
- (176) Detroit (Det – DEF)
General Ideology – Value and depth
I know what you’re thinking: why no QB until round 11? My answer: value. In our league, QBs get the most points hands down. Last year eight of the top ten players (as far as fantasy points is concerned) were QBs. That list was penetrated by two RBs. I only have to go ~25 spots down to find 12 QBs. Every team can start one QB, so that is half of the top 25 players. That leaves the other half to be taken (likely) in the first two rounds of the draft. Since the talent is so concentrated at the top for QB, I can focus on other positions (RB and WR) where the talent is distributed and valuable. As I concentrate on depth at RB and WR, the last QB is waiting patiently for me. This has been a strategy that I employed over the last few years, and it has worked for me in varying capacities. I think that the most important aspect of this is to find a backup QB who has high upside. Last year I managed to draft Stafford (Det – QB) in the 11th round. Hopefully I can find a gem early in this season… Fitzpatrick? Freeman? We shall see.
Second Guessing – Why did I get him?
There are always some picks that you scratch your head about.
- I was torn between Chris Johnson and Darren McFadden for my first round pick. It is no longer 2KCJ, but who says he couldn’t have bounced back this year for a solid showing? I kind of doubted it and didn’t want to bother with him anyways (I had him last year and it was the worst). Run DMc has looked really good, but has injury problems. So I took a chance and made sure that I got some depth behind him (i.e. Doug Martin in round 6).
- Back to depth – I think that having 3 good WRs in our league can be HUGE. That is why I used three of my first five picks on them (a strategy that only three of our twelve managers employed). I do have second guesses about my first pick – Larry Fitzgerald. Let’s face it, he is an absolute beast regardless of who is throwing to him. But Wes Welker was available and his PPR prowess was looking very sexy. I passed on him, thinking that he wouldn’t haul in 122 again this year (maybe something closer to 85?).
- The only other pick that I second guess is Big Ben. Sure I just talked about how huge of a value that was, but maybe I could’ve drafted a QB in round 8 – Schaub, Rivers, Cutler.
Oh well. As is with most things, time will tell. I’ll keep everyone in the loop as the season progresses.
My prediction for this year is playoffs. That is all I care about.